EQUITIES
connectingmarket
paper

Performance

What's actually working — attribution over the decision journal, by strategy, regime, symbol, and catalyst. Returns are percent (no R stored).

live
Total realized
-336.86
Closed trades
118
Win rate
36%
Avg return
-0.09%
Alpha · vs QQQ
+0.22%
Profit factor
0.92
Expectancy
-2.85
Open · excluded
21

By strategy

SliceNWinRet%P&L
momentum9837%-0.17-925.77
mean_reversion2035%+0.30+588.91
Total118-336.86

By regime

SliceNWinRet%P&L
TRENDING9536%-0.19-1,068.99
RANGING2035%+0.30+588.91
Unattributed367%+0.57+143.22
Total118-336.86

By symbol

SliceNWinRet%P&L
NFLX2335%-0.33-112.01
UNH1527%-0.32-438.80
BAC1338%-0.06-8.57
JPM1331%-0.13-165.54
V1242%+0.01+10.66
AMD1145%-0.30-254.64
AAPL771%+0.45+242.32
META633%+0.13+71.35
GOOGL425%+0.20+73.37
JNJ40%-0.61-240.33
TSLA367%+1.42+422.78
WMT30%-0.49-145.94
COST250%+0.29+55.90
DIS1100%+2.08+208.17
PG10%-0.58-55.58
Total118-336.86

By catalyst sentiment

SliceNWinRet%P&L
positive6442%-0.03-9.45
neutral3030%-0.03-271.44
negative2124%-0.46-199.19
Unattributed367%+0.57+143.22
Total118-336.86

Catalyst check

earns its cost?
PositiveN64-0.03%
NeutralN30-0.03%
NegativeN21-0.46%
Does positive-sentiment outperform neutral / negative? If it doesn't out-earn the rest, the LLM layer isn't paying its way.
N shown beside every stat; rows below N = 25 are low-confidence and greyed — do not act. Avg return % excludes unattributed (orphan) exits; their P&L is still counted so per-slice totals reconcile to the overall (-336.86).

Config versions

compare eras
v1baseline — pre-versioningJun 8, 9:01 AMN6 · 67% · +90.94
v2config change: atr_stop_mult, atr_tp_mult, daily_loss_limit_pct, event_risk_ceiling, max_concurrent_positions, max_position_pct, max_total_exposure_pct, overnight_earnings_blackout, overnight_max_position_pct, per_trade_risk_pct, perf_min_sample, time_stop_hoursJun 9, 9:04 AMN112 · 35% · -427.80
Each ruleset change snapshots a new version and stamps the trades that run under it — so you can compare eras instead of across-era noise.

Equity curve · vs QQQ

99.3k · annotated
Bot equity QQQ buy & hold
QQQ buy & hold ·
-0.81%
Alpha · vs QQQ
+0.22%
Beta
0.03
Time in market
91%
QQQ buy & hold — same starting equity bought at the window open and held. Price return (excludes dividends). Time-in-market shown so a low-exposure bot isn't credited for risk it didn't take.
Aug 52 changelog entries
Log a change
Jun 9, 9:04 AMConfig v2: config change: atr_stop_mult, atr_tp_mult, daily_loss_limit_pct, event_risk_ceiling, max_concurrent_positions, max_position_pct, max_total_exposure_pct, overnight_earnings_blackout, overnight_max_position_pct, per_trade_risk_pct, perf_min_sample, time_stop_hours
Jun 8, 9:01 AMBaseline — pre-versioning

Closed trades

individual round trips · drill-down
TickerSideEntryExitP&LReturnStrategyRegimeCauseHoldExit time
TSLAshort323.02324.80-53.33-0.55%MomentumTrendingSL24mAug 5, 8:39 AM
BAClong62.5262.73+33.31+0.33%MomentumTrendingMixed461h 59mAug 4, 2:59 PM
BAClong63.2362.93-0.31-0.49%MomentumTrendingSL437h 44mAug 4, 2:59 PM
BAClong63.2362.93-42.04-0.49%MomentumTrendingSL316h 44mAug 4, 2:59 PM
BAClong62.2062.06-11.71-0.24%MomentumTrendingMixed474h 5mAug 4, 8:35 AM
BAClong61.9961.99-0.01-0.00%MomentumTrendingMixed456h 50mAug 3, 11:35 AM
Vlong372.62370.11-67.64-0.67%MomentumTrendingMixed139h 30mAug 3, 8:30 AM
Vlong366.56369.74+79.50+0.87%MomentumTrendingTP117h 15mAug 3, 8:30 AM
BAClong61.6361.75+20.56+0.20%MomentumTrendingMixed529h 5mJul 31, 10:35 AM
UNHlong430.45428.48-43.23-0.46%MomentumTrendingSL217h 52mJul 30, 1:37 PM
UNHlong425.85423.63-26.64-0.52%MomentumTrendingSL192h 37mJul 30, 1:37 PM
NFLXshort70.8571.59-111.27-1.05%MomentumTrendingSL241h 39mJul 30, 10:24 AM
NFLXshort70.7571.52-0.77-1.09%MomentumTrendingSL237h 54mJul 30, 10:24 AM
Vlong370.22368.50-46.38-0.46%MomentumTrendingSL26h 19mJul 29, 12:34 PM
NFLXshort70.0470.45-59.98-0.58%MomentumTrendingSL289h 8mJul 29, 11:08 AM
Vlong367.70369.98+63.86+0.62%MomentumTrendingMixed96h 38mJul 28, 2:23 PM
Vlong354.47352.96-42.19-0.43%MomentumTrendingSL2h 36mJul 24, 12:06 PM
AAPLlong331.44333.85+72.53+0.73%MomentumTrendingTP1h 50mJul 24, 11:05 AM
AAPLlong331.52333.94+2.42+0.73%MomentumTrendingTP1h 5mJul 24, 11:05 AM
AAPLlong328.92331.29+71.07+0.72%MomentumTrendingTP1h 29mJul 24, 10:14 AM
AAPLlong327.17329.26+60.56+0.64%MomentumTrendingTP163h 38mJul 24, 9:23 AM
METAlong606.95602.95-64.03-0.66%Mean-revRangingSL35mJul 23, 9:50 AM
METAlong610.15605.88-68.28-0.70%Mean-revRangingSL32mJul 23, 9:17 AM
NFLXshort67.7168.34-85.14-0.93%MomentumTrendingSL186h 38mJul 23, 8:38 AM
NFLXshort68.4168.84-7.31-0.63%MomentumTrendingSL145h 23mJul 23, 8:38 AM
NFLXshort68.4168.84-7.31-0.63%MomentumTrendingSL144h 53mJul 23, 8:38 AM
NFLXshort68.4168.84-7.31-0.63%MomentumTrendingSL144h 38mJul 23, 8:38 AM
TSLAshort382.73373.73+234.09+2.35%Mean-revRangingTP29h 9mJul 22, 2:54 PM
UNHlong435.04432.69-54.05-0.54%MomentumTrendingSL29h 17mJul 22, 2:02 PM
UNHlong432.62433.76+26.28+0.26%MomentumTrendingMixed119h 47mJul 22, 12:02 PM
NFLXshort66.9668.04-141.24-1.62%MomentumTrendingSL362h 28mJul 21, 2:43 PM
UNHlong433.38431.97-32.47-0.33%MomentumTrendingMixed291h 15mJul 21, 12:00 PM
GOOGLshort358.87348.31+285.13+2.94%Mean-revRangingTP23h 34mJul 21, 8:49 AM
Vlong361.62360.77-22.90-0.23%MomentumTrendingSL2h 55mJul 20, 2:55 PM
Vlong362.25360.72-41.31-0.42%MomentumTrendingSL1h 52mJul 20, 12:07 PM
NFLXshort67.2968.69-161.94-2.07%MomentumTrendingSL483h 8mJul 20, 10:23 AM
NFLXshort66.8468.00-1.16-1.73%MomentumTrendingSL480h 53mJul 20, 10:23 AM
UNHlong430.82426.86-90.92-0.92%MomentumTrendingSL364h 57mJul 17, 2:12 PM
NFLXshort67.4968.99-100.70-2.23%MomentumTrendingSL428h 4mJul 17, 10:34 AM
NFLXshort67.4968.99-1.50-2.23%MomentumTrendingSL427h 49mJul 17, 10:34 AM
Vlong361.38364.00+70.74+0.72%MomentumTrendingTP5h 16mJul 16, 2:46 PM
BAClong61.6561.20-76.67-0.73%MomentumTrendingSL331h 9mJul 16, 8:39 AM
GOOGLshort371.65374.72-79.81-0.83%Mean-revRangingSL22h 1mJul 16, 8:31 AM
Vlong358.27356.56-46.20-0.48%MomentumTrendingSL3h 45mJul 15, 2:30 PM
WMTshort114.00114.44-38.28-0.39%MomentumTrendingSL21h 7mJul 15, 10:22 AM
GOOGLshort366.80369.61-75.79-0.77%Mean-revRangingSL25mJul 15, 10:10 AM
Vlong358.55356.73-49.14-0.51%MomentumTrendingSL1h 53mJul 14, 12:53 PM
JPMlong344.00340.29-107.46-1.08%MomentumTrendingSL98h 40mJul 14, 10:40 AM
Vlong357.43359.42+53.80+0.56%MomentumTrendingTP1h 7mJul 13, 12:52 PM
Vlong355.36357.45+58.52+0.59%MomentumTrendingTP50mJul 13, 11:50 AM
JPMlong336.09334.71-40.02-0.41%MomentumTrendingSL1h 31mJul 9, 1:46 PM
TSLAlong393.21402.89+242.02+2.46%Mean-revRangingTP26h 31mJul 9, 12:01 PM
JNJlong266.84265.45-51.42-0.52%MomentumTrendingSL1h 58mJul 8, 12:28 PM
COSTshort958.50949.24+92.60+0.97%Mean-revRangingTP1h 46mJul 7, 11:01 AM
PGshort152.40153.28-55.58-0.58%Mean-revRangingSL24mJul 7, 9:24 AM
JPMlong334.47331.94-73.21-0.75%MomentumTrendingManual16mJul 6, 10:01 AM
JPM334.24337.60+47.10+1.01%MomentumTPJul 6, 8:36 AM
JPMlong332.74331.24-20.99-0.45%MomentumTrendingManual16mJul 2, 2:46 PM
BAClong58.7558.47-47.32-0.48%MomentumTrendingSL56mJul 2, 12:11 PM
UNHlong426.79424.07-62.41-0.64%MomentumTrendingMixed143h 56mJul 2, 11:56 AM
DISlong96.0798.07+208.17+2.08%Mean-revRangingTP49h 26mJul 2, 11:26 AM
JPMlong334.02332.55-42.63-0.44%MomentumTrendingSL19h 39mJul 2, 8:54 AM
JPMlong335.59333.42-62.92-0.65%MomentumTrendingSL1h 52mJul 1, 12:52 PM
JNJshort252.98254.67-65.78-0.67%Mean-revRangingSL5h 21mJun 26, 2:36 PM
UNHlong426.75424.21-58.42-0.60%MomentumTrendingSL1h 36mJun 26, 11:21 AM
JPM337.79332.70+147.61+1.51%MomentumManualJun 26, 10:36 AM
UNHlong424.10427.28+73.09+0.75%MomentumTrendingTP1h 2mJun 26, 9:47 AM
UNHlong415.75419.74+95.77+0.96%MomentumTrendingTP23h 35mJun 26, 8:35 AM
AMDlong512.40506.30-54.90-1.19%MomentumTrendingSL17h 47mJun 26, 8:32 AM
NFLXshort72.1071.21+122.82+1.23%MomentumTrendingTP5h 10mJun 25, 2:55 PM
JPM340.50337.79-51.49-0.80%MomentumManualJun 25, 11:30 AM
BAClong58.9358.62-52.07-0.52%MomentumTrendingSL1h 21mJun 25, 10:36 AM
JPMlong340.50343.09+75.11+0.76%MomentumTrendingTP34mJun 25, 9:34 AM
BAClong58.5258.87+59.50+0.60%MomentumTrendingTP34mJun 25, 9:19 AM
JPMlong338.16340.54+69.02+0.70%MomentumTrendingTP24mJun 25, 9:09 AM
BAClong57.7858.14+62.16+0.63%MomentumTrendingTP18h 35mJun 25, 8:35 AM
JNJshort241.63243.14-61.81-0.62%Mean-revRangingSL23h 34mJun 25, 8:34 AM
NFLXshort72.2971.40+122.16+1.22%MomentumTrendingTP18h 49mJun 25, 8:34 AM
NFLXshort72.0572.56-70.41-0.71%MomentumTrendingSL1h 51mJun 24, 1:06 PM
NFLXshort72.0572.56-0.51-0.71%MomentumTrendingSL1h 36mJun 24, 1:06 PM
NFLXshort73.0671.99+145.10+1.46%MomentumTrendingTP26h 24mJun 24, 11:24 AM
NFLXshort73.0671.99+1.07+1.46%MomentumTrendingTP2h 39mJun 24, 11:24 AM
BAClong57.8557.58-46.44-0.47%MomentumTrendingSL22h 55mJun 24, 8:55 AM
JPMlong334.56333.49-31.12-0.32%MomentumTrendingSL22h 33mJun 24, 8:33 AM
WMTshort119.38120.00-51.44-0.52%Mean-revRangingSL40mJun 23, 10:10 AM
BAClong57.3257.85+92.47+0.93%MomentumTrendingTP25h 25mJun 23, 10:10 AM
JPMlong331.70329.22-74.54-0.75%MomentumTrendingSL21h 36mJun 23, 8:36 AM
UNHlong407.26405.09-52.15-0.53%MomentumTrendingSL21h 35mJun 23, 8:35 AM
NFLXshort73.2572.21+141.34+1.42%MomentumTrendingTP54mJun 22, 11:39 AM
AMDlong546.43537.90-153.54-1.56%MomentumTrendingSL1h 13mJun 22, 10:58 AM
NFLXshort74.3473.33+133.32+1.36%MomentumTrendingTP1h 26mJun 22, 10:56 AM
NFLXshort74.6573.62+2.06+1.38%MomentumTrendingTP1h 34mJun 22, 10:49 AM
NFLXshort75.5174.53+128.62+1.30%MomentumTrendingTP43mJun 22, 9:43 AM
AMDlong554.96552.31-45.11-0.48%MomentumTrendingSL19mJun 22, 9:04 AM
NFLXshort75.8877.05-151.95-1.54%MomentumTrendingSL44mJun 22, 8:59 AM
AMDlong535.72547.93+219.79+2.28%MomentumTrendingTP94h 2mJun 22, 8:47 AM
METAlong566.72575.24+144.81+1.50%Mean-revRangingTP2h 5mJun 18, 10:50 AM
AMDlong538.20528.63-172.32-1.78%MomentumTrendingSL37mJun 18, 10:37 AM
WMTlong117.87117.20-56.22-0.57%Mean-revRangingSL19h 46mJun 18, 8:46 AM
METAlong575.31571.80-59.67-0.61%Mean-revRangingSL39mJun 17, 2:09 PM
COSTlong964.77961.10-36.70-0.38%Mean-revRangingSL59mJun 17, 1:59 PM
AMDlong531.30524.34-125.12-1.31%MomentumTrendingSL26mJun 17, 1:56 PM
METAlong582.20577.80-74.80-0.76%Mean-revRangingSL2h 1mJun 17, 11:46 AM
AAPLlong301.21300.82-6.21-0.13%MomentumTrendingTP17h 55mJun 17, 8:40 AM
UNHlong411.02408.80-53.43-0.54%MomentumTrendingSL22h 49mJun 16, 8:34 AM
AMDlong548.88544.23-83.70-0.85%MomentumTrendingSL20h 18mJun 16, 8:33 AM
UNHlong408.25400.66-182.06-1.86%MomentumTrendingSL69h 9mJun 15, 8:39 AM
AMDlong548.13550.20+37.11+0.38%MomentumTrendingTP1h 39mJun 15, 8:39 AM
METAlong560.41571.78+193.32+2.03%Mean-revRangingTP5h 20mJun 11, 2:35 PM
GOOGLlong365.93363.85-56.16-0.57%MomentumTrendingSL53mJun 10, 9:53 AM
UNHlong410.46414.46+96.00+0.97%MomentumTrendingTP21h 33mJun 10, 8:33 AM
JNJshort236.54238.00-61.32-0.62%Mean-revRangingSL21h 2mJun 10, 8:32 AM
AMDlong492.04494.10+41.05+0.42%MomentumTrendingManual22h 35mJun 9, 8:35 AM
AMDlong492.04494.10+41.05+0.42%MomentumTrendingManual21h 5mJun 9, 8:35 AM
AMDlong492.04494.10+41.05+0.42%MomentumTrendingManual19h 50mJun 9, 8:35 AM
AAPLlong313.35316.67+102.96+1.06%MomentumTrendingTP34mJun 8, 12:34 PM
UNHlong405.33402.24-74.16-0.76%MomentumTrendingSL1h 9mJun 8, 12:09 PM
AAPLlong315.10313.13-61.01-0.62%MomentumTrendingSL1h 49mJun 8, 11:34 AM
118 trades shown · P&L -336.86 — reconciles to the overall total